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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | No | 629.18 | $0.301 | $380.65 | +$191.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 98.8 | $0.850 | $83.98 | Apr 18, 2026 |
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| No |
| 186.88 |
| $0.311 |
| $176.32 |
| +$118.14 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 165 | $0.783 | $149.33 | +$20.13 |
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | 65 | $0.706 | $61.82 | +$15.92 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.840 | $37.5 | -$46.5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.466 | $29 | -$64.3 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 30.84 | $0.784 | $28.9 | +$4.72 |
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.5 | $0.880 | $8.33 | +$0.85 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15 | $0.397 | $6.88 | +$0.92 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.943 | $4.94 | +$0.23 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.92 | +$0.32 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.87 | +$0.27 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.770 | $4.72 | +$0.87 |
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $4.7 | +$0.5 |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.55 | +$0.05 |
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.870 | $4.34 | -$0.01 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $3.78 | +$0.58 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.189 | $3.65 | -$5.8 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 5 | $0.520 | $2.53 | -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.006 |
| $12 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 2.56K | $0.560 | $1.44K | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.810 | $405 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.810 | $243 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.810 | $486 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 5.17K | $0.628 | $3.24K | Apr 13, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.565 | $113 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.879 | $351.61 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.452 | $452.22 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 60 | $0.700 | $42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.426 | $426 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.006 | $12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $7.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.015 | $30 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 52.32 | $0.840 | $43.95 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.840 | $117.6 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 197.44 | $0.840 | $165.85 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | sell | 3K | $0.971 | $2.91K | Apr 5, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.007 | $10.5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 65 | $0.860 | $55.9 | Apr 5, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Yes | buy | 805 | $0.014 | $11.27 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 95 | $0.897 | $85.22 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 3K | $0.985 | $2.96K | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 197.28 | $0.830 | $163.74 | Apr 5, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 121 | $0.660 | $79.86 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.670 | $4.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 180 | $0.670 | $120.6 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Apr 4, 2026 |