Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.019 | $18.55 | +$13.55 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.195 | $15 | May 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 232.79 |
| $0.043 |
| $3.38 |
| -$6.62 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 140.41 | $0.071 | $3.3 | -$6.7 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.016 | $2.34 | -$2.66 |
| sell |
| 26.32 |
| $0.490 |
| $12.9 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.700 | $11.11 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | sell | 8.51 | $0.730 | $6.21 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 76.13 | $0.360 | $27.41 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 37.5 | $0.610 | $22.88 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 1.44K | $0.380 | $546.26 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 31.65 | $0.650 | $20.57 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.680 | $976.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.600 | $17.65 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 57.26 | $0.524 | $30 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 31.66 | $0.632 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 232.79 | $0.043 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | sell | 1.37 | $0.831 | $1.14 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.36 | $0.720 | $0.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 6.03 | $0.820 | $4.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.28 | $0.770 | $0.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.31 | $0.750 | $0.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.31 | $0.860 | $1.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.26 | $0.779 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.48 | $0.659 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.73 | $0.559 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | sell | 1.54 | $0.891 | $1.37 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.52 | $0.639 | $0.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 513.71 | $0.290 | $148.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 366.83 | $0.470 | $172.41 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | sell | 98.55 | $0.104 | $10.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |