Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7.46 | $0.670 | $6.83 | +$1.83 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5.46 |
| +$0.46 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3.3 | +$0.3 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 13.51 | $0.370 | $2.91 | -$2.09 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.360 | $1.87 | -$3.13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.690 | $1.27 | -$3.73 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 6.9 | $0.290 | $1 | -$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.98 | -$4.02 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.480 | $0.54 | -$3.46 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $0.29 | -$4.71 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.098 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.16 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 13.51 |
| $0.370 |
| $5 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.410 | $3.03 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.930 | $5.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.410 | $5.39 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.160 | $1.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.740 | $1.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.430 | $5.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.963 | $1.02 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.890 | $5.62 | May 14, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.920 | $5.6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.38 | $0.949 | $7 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.972 | $5.28 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.77 | $0.982 | $10.58 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.838 | $4.92 | Apr 19, 2026 |