Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 23.62 | $0.254 | $3.77 | -$2.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.720 | $3.04 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $1.8 |
| -$3.2 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.148 | $0.7 | -$3.3 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.020 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.180 | $0.37 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.148 | $4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 23.62 | $0.254 | $6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 2.55 | $0.100 | $0.26 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.76 | $0.860 | $11.83 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.375 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 5.22 | $0.996 | $5.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.710 | $3.5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Jones vs. MiocicJones | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?SOL | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.753 | $9 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Solana above $170 on November 8?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.970 | $1.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.532 | $11 | Oct 8, 2024 |