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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 13 | $0.800 | $12.42 | +$2.02 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.887 | $9.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 12 |
| $0.909 |
| $11.63 |
| +$0.73 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.800 | $11.54 | +$1.94 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 11 | $0.840 | $10.58 | +$1.34 |
 Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? | No | 11.99 | $0.620 | $10.19 | +$2.76 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11 | $0.700 | $9.63 | +$1.93 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 11 | $0.410 | $5.47 | +$0.96 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 10.98 | $0.310 | $1.59 | -$1.81 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.155 | $0.2 | -$1.66 |
| buy |
| 2.61 |
| $0.998 |
| $2.6 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 11 | $0.810 | $8.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 11 | $0.968 | $10.65 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.890 | $11.57 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.290 | $3.77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.800 | $10.4 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.870 | $10.44 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 11.99 | $0.990 | $11.87 | May 14, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.999 | $11.99 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.930 | $11.11 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | buy | 12 | $0.970 | $11.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 12 | $0.780 | $9.36 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.995 | $11.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.91 | $0.890 | $9.71 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.992 | $3.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.979 | $11.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Ireland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?No | buy | 11 | $0.998 | $10.98 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.998 | $10.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.998 | $10.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.922 | $10.14 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.981 | $10.79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | sell | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.993 | $10.92 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.880 | $9.68 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.920 | $10.12 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.985 | $10.83 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.230 | $2.53 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.014 | $0.15 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.996 | $10.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 22.35 | $0.940 | $21.01 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.900 | $9.9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.05 | $0.994 | $10.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.930 | $2.55 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.979 | $11 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.995 | $10.41 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.985 | $10.25 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.910 | $9.33 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.997 | $9.3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 11 | $0.919 | $10.11 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.975 | $10.73 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?No | buy | 11 | $0.820 | $9.02 | Jan 17, 2026 |