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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.43 | $0.330 | $68.12 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 201 |
| $0.349 |
| $70.18 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?Yes | buy | 254.94 | $0.618 | $157.52 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | sell | 175.06 | $0.900 | $157.52 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 175.07 | $0.720 | $126.05 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.072 | $125.15 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 226.88 | $0.154 | $35 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?Yes | buy | 446.08 | $0.448 | $200 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.26 | $0.690 | $76.08 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.680 | $42.84 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.400 | $156 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 599 | $0.388 | $232.61 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 630 | $0.382 | $240.85 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 55.94 | $0.360 | $20.14 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.200 | $350 | Dec 10, 2025 |