Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.933 | $38.87 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.9 |
| $0.529 |
| $10 |
| Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.3 | $0.160 | $4.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 15.86 | $0.631 | $10 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.998 | $6.88 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during Merz events on June 5?Yes | buy | 8.53 | $0.587 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Apple" this week?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.650 | $3.71 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.410 | $6.61 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 74.62 | $0.965 | $72.01 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Apple" this week?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" this week?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" this week?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | May 24, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.040 | $2.86 | May 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 21, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 21, 2025 |
 Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 20, 2025 |
 Europa League Final: 3+ goals?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | May 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | May 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.446 | $13.13 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?Yes | sell | 77.3 | $0.713 | $55.08 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.076 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.31 | $0.198 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | sell | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | May 17, 2025 |