Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | May 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 57.65 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.06 |
| May 26, 2026 |
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.892 | $8.92 | May 25, 2026 |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | sell | 18 | $0.740 | $13.32 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09?No | sell | 42.79 | $0.210 | $8.99 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 39.88 | $0.953 | $37.99 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 7.26 | $0.980 | $7.11 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 9.57 | $0.921 | $8.81 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 14.23 | $0.060 | $0.85 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.900 | $11.7 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.012 | $0.01 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Luis Enrique be the next manager of Manchester City FC?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.166 | $4.98 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 8.77 | $0.130 | $1.14 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?No | sell | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | May 18, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.530 | $1.36 | May 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.995 | $5.22 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.968 | $5.29 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.170 | $0.95 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 13.39 | $0.810 | $10.85 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?No | sell | 97.56 | $0.017 | $1.66 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 10.29 | $0.740 | $7.61 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.036 | $1.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.75 | $0.660 | $6.43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.176 | $5.28 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 21 | $0.650 | $13.65 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.84 | $0.770 | $7.58 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.791 | $39.54 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.47 | $0.330 | $3.79 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.5 | $0.420 | $3.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | sell | 16.79 | $0.040 | $0.67 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.190 | $0.73 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 139.99 | $0.026 | $3.64 | Jan 7, 2026 |