Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.040 | $0.07 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.55K |
| $0.001 |
| $1.55 |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.988 | $1.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 842.94 | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 543.33 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.830 | $1.18 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.631 | $1 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.996 | $1.39 | May 31, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Avalanche vs. StarsAvalanche | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.69 | $0.912 | $4.28 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Capitals vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets | buy | 5.75 | $0.810 | $4.66 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.009 | $0.69 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 2.25K | $0.001 | $2.25 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.915 | $4.3 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.002 | $4.5 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?Yes | buy | 12.14 | $0.117 | $1.42 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.506 | $1.31 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.479 | $0.11 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.507 | $1.31 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.505 | $1.31 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.475 | $0.05 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.490 | $0.05 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.477 | $0.01 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.487 | $0.12 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Infowars shut down before August?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |