Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.22K | $0.639 | $1.02K | +$243.52 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 222.48 | $0.600 | $133.49 | 13d ago |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
| No |
| 909.52 |
| $0.994 |
| $909.06 |
| +$5.06 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 336 | $0.723 | $290.3 | +$47.4 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 239.99 | $0.364 | $166.8 | +$79.4 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | Yes | 166 | $0.660 | $139.44 | +$29.88 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 107 | $0.870 | $100.05 | +$6.96 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 466 | $0.240 | $67.57 | -$44.27 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $49.58 | +$10.58 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 45.39 | $0.700 | $41.99 | +$10.21 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 56 | $0.385 | $33.88 | +$12.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 27.44 | $0.860 | $27.27 | +$3.66 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 23 | $0.970 | $22.97 | +$0.66 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 52 | $0.580 | $20.54 | -$9.62 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 19.14 | $0.922 | $18.44 | +$0.79 |
 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 11.28 | $0.850 | $10.76 | +$1.17 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 57 | $0.660 | $7.7 | -$29.93 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 7 | $0.795 | $6.8 | +$1.24 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 9 | $0.400 | $5.45 | +$1.85 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.78 | $0.937 | $1.72 | +$0.05 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | Yes | 20.47 | $0.051 | $0.56 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 234 |
| $0.130 |
| $30.42 |
| 13d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsColorado Rockies | buy | 70 | $0.110 | $7.7 | 13d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 113.75 | $0.850 | $96.69 | 13d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 0.65 | $0.850 | $0.55 | 13d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 0.1 | $0.770 | $0.08 | 13d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.060 | $66.42 | 21d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 275 | $0.993 | $273.08 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.993 | $2.5 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 33 | $0.992 | $32.74 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 497 | $0.995 | $494.46 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 80 | $0.993 | $79.43 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 22 | $0.991 | $21.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 56.78 | $0.300 | $17.03 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.500 | $1.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 644 | $0.994 | $640.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 255 | $0.419 | $106.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 773 | $0.774 | $598.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 532.34 | $0.225 | $119.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 773 | $0.735 | $568.16 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.639 | $3.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.639 | $3.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.639 | $3.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 6 | $0.639 | $3.83 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.639 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 528 | $0.639 | $337.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 667 | $0.639 | $426.21 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 55 | $0.964 | $53.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 50 | $0.964 | $48.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 68 | $0.964 | $65.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 14 | $0.964 | $13.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 18 | $0.964 | $17.35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 18 | $0.964 | $17.35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 63 | $0.964 | $60.73 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 61 | $0.964 | $58.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 70 | $0.964 | $67.48 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 50 | $0.964 | $48.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 26 | $0.964 | $25.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 26 | $0.964 | $25.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.964 | $1.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 45 | $0.964 | $43.38 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 23 | $0.964 | $22.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 97 | $0.964 | $93.51 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 109 | $0.964 | $105.08 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 55 | $0.964 | $53.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 55 | $0.964 | $53.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 26 | $0.964 | $25.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |