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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 23.26 | $0.430 | $18.95 | +$8.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 37.43 | $0.210 | $7.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 23.61 |
| $0.846 |
| $15.13 |
| -$4.85 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $6.29 | +$1.29 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 7.77 | $0.643 | $4.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.76 | $0.740 | $4.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | No | 14.29 | $0.700 | $4.07 | -$5.93 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 27.27 | $0.110 | $1.42 | -$1.58 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $1.37 | -$0.63 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $1.05 | -$0.95 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 14.33 | $0.698 | $0.69 | -$9.31 |
| buy |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $10 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 37.43 | $0.187 | $7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.910 | $5.61 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.966 | $6.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | sell | 19.4 | $0.931 | $18.06 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes | buy | 7.77 | $0.644 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.198 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.25 | $0.198 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.59 | $0.625 | $13.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.829 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.96 | $0.940 | $14.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.95 | $0.890 | $13.31 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.610 | $3.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.260 | $3.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 14.33 | $0.698 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.992 | $6.71 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.928 | $6.29 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.977 | $6.3 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.840 | $5.17 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 17.42 | $0.879 | $15.31 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.920 | $4.86 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.780 | $2.9 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 19.32 | $0.994 | $19.2 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.985 | $10.94 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.860 | $1.55 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.933 | $6.66 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.964 | $6.02 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |