Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 316.68 | $0.810 | $256.51 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.83 |
| $0.999 |
| $2.83 |
| Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?No | sell | 34.23 | $0.973 | $33.32 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $37 trillion in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.979 | $4.94 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.860 | $44.79 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 175.34 | $0.973 | $170.63 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 211.41 | $0.930 | $196.61 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 26.23 | $0.997 | $26.15 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | sell | 20.32 | $0.988 | $20.08 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 50.7 | $0.987 | $50.04 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?No | sell | 51.59 | $0.972 | $50.15 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?No | sell | 51.33 | $0.978 | $50.2 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 896.45 | $0.840 | $753.02 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 789.33 | $0.954 | $753.02 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 104.52 | $0.804 | $84 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Down | buy | 11.03 | $0.790 | $8.71 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 12.4 | $0.702 | $8.7 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Down | buy | 31.86 | $0.790 | $25.17 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Up | sell | 68.04 | $0.370 | $25.17 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Up | buy | 68.04 | $0.490 | $33.34 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Down | sell | 69.44 | $0.480 | $33.33 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on July 17?Up | buy | 33.64 | $0.989 | $33.27 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?Down | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on July 17?Up | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3PM ETDown | buy | 70.78 | $0.716 | $50.71 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3PM ETDown | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 51.54 | $0.973 | $50.15 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 170.18 | $0.973 | $165.56 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2PM ETUp | buy | 85.31 | $0.520 | $44.36 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1PM ETUp | buy | 991.63 | $0.504 | $500 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1PM ETUp | buy | 584.07 | $0.856 | $500 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETUp | buy | 314.54 | $0.390 | $122.57 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETUp | sell | 933.53 | $0.131 | $122.57 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETUp | buy | 729.81 | $0.685 | $500.22 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ETUp | buy | 933.54 | $0.536 | $500 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 16?Up | sell | 1K | $0.997 | $1K | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 932.81 | $0.850 | $792.89 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 778.97 | $0.963 | $750 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 1AM ETUp | buy | 1.54K | $0.542 | $835.69 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on July 16?Yes | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?Up | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.35 | $0.965 | $9.99 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | sell | 10.08 | $0.991 | $9.99 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 15 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 277.91 | $0.902 | $250.63 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 251.89 | $0.995 | $250.63 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 15 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 619.27 | $0.939 | $581.49 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 11?No | sell | 609.77 | $0.954 | $581.48 | Jul 15, 2025 |