Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.971 | $5.4 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.2 |
| $0.992 |
| $3.17 |
| Jul 31, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 3 | $0.992 | $2.98 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.975 | $5.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.965 | $9.3 | May 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.994 | $11.2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.987 | $2.7 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.990 | $1.56 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.997 | $2.3 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 12.44 | $0.997 | $12.4 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.994 | $1.46 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.997 | $1.35 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.997 | $1.46 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 12.29 | $0.975 | $11.98 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.976 | $12 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.969 | $9.59 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 12 | $0.996 | $11.95 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 JD & Usha Vance divorce before election?No | sell | 9.2 | $0.990 | $9.11 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?No | sell | 7 | $0.956 | $6.69 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.970 | $9.6 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| JD & Usha Vance divorce before election?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.993 | $9.14 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?No | buy | 7 | $0.961 | $6.73 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 12 | $0.997 | $11.96 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?No | sell | 14.9 | $0.996 | $14.84 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.971 | $6.8 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Puffer airdrop by September 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.990 | $8.91 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.986 | $6.41 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?No | buy | 14.9 | $0.997 | $14.86 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.973 | $6.81 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Puffer airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.992 | $8.93 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.992 | $6.45 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.001 | $0.8 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will France recognize Palestine before September?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.987 | $7.11 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.002 | $1.6 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | sell | 7 | $0.982 | $6.87 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 7 | $0.984 | $6.89 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 25 | $0.964 | $24.1 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 12.8 | $0.998 | $12.77 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 12.8 | $0.999 | $12.79 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 25 | $0.966 | $24.15 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?No | sell | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.495 | $9.9 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.496 | $9.92 | Aug 25, 2024 |