Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.51 | $0.215 | $0.21 | -$1.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above $50B?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.401 | $2.11 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.98 |
| $0.470 |
| $2.34 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Lion" this week?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.890 | $1.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.560 | $1.47 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" this week?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.450 | $1.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Regulation" during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.111 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Corn" during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.481 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.330 | $1.82 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.280 | $2.04 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.300 | $2.02 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.439 | $2.45 | May 29, 2026 |
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.405 | $2.19 | May 29, 2026 |
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.72 | $0.273 | $2.38 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.310 | $2.02 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.400 | $2.44 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.460 | $2.29 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Trump post "Autopen" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.360 | $2.2 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Bernie say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" in Maine?Yes | buy | 9.37 | $0.239 | $2.24 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.270 | $2.21 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 21?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.440 | $2.4 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.220 | $1.91 | May 7, 2026 |
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.250 | $2.22 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.310 | $2.02 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.460 | $2.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will King Charles say "War" during the joint meeting of Congress?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.440 | $2.24 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.460 | $2.29 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "First Lady" or "Movie Star" during WHCA Dinner events?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.310 | $1.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.360 | $2.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 4.77 | $0.420 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.210 | $1.29 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.440 | $2.29 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on April 21?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.390 | $2.32 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.430 | $2.03 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.360 | $1.68 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.77 | $0.240 | $1.15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.330 | $1.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on April 21?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.340 | $1.61 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on April 21?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.320 | $2.32 | Apr 20, 2026 |