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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 4.09 | $0.965 | $4.03 | +$0.08 |
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.890 | $4.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.12 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.09 |
| +$0.09 |
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.830 | $4.93 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 12.25 | $0.979 | $11.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 3.47 | $0.880 | $3.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.939 | $11.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 5.31 | $0.970 | $5.15 | May 8, 2026 |
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Malvinas Gaming win LRS 2026 Split 1?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 18.23 | $0.998 | $18.19 | May 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 18.23 | $0.996 | $18.16 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.580 | $1.48 | Apr 27, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.790 | $1.05 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 16.34 | $0.965 | $15.77 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?Up | buy | 21.34 | $0.984 | $21 | Feb 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.994 | $28 | Jan 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |