Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 222.22 |
| $0.090 |
| $20 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.033 | $15 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.552 | $32.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.050 | $1.95 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |