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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 15.67 | $0.957 | $15.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.29 |
| $0.960 |
| $6.8 |
| -$0.2 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3.12 | $0.963 | $2.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5.15 |
| $0.970 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.981 | $7 | May 20, 2026 |
 LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonLUA Gaming | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.940 | $11 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.941 | $7 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 14?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.959 | $5.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 14?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.877 | $3.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.976 | $7.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.959 | $9.96 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?No | buy | 15.67 | $0.957 | $15 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 52.68 | $0.987 | $52 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 15?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.970 | $3.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 15?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $1.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 15?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.919 | $3.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 15?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.979 | $2.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 15?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.920 | $2.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.850 | $2.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.870 | $2.96 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 15?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.959 | $6.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.980 | $3.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.950 | $10.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52.68 | $0.987 | $52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.945 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.906 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.986 | $20.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.969 | $12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.929 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.963 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.933 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.820 | $9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Dec 28, 2025 |