Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 1.39 | $0.717 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.11 |
| $0.270 |
| $3.17 |
| +$0.17 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15.08 | $0.066 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.56 | $0.405 | $1.79 | +$0.35 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $1.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.034 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
| sell |
| 1.38 |
| $0.404 |
| $0.56 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.08 | $0.066 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.405 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.621 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.026 | $0.12 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 9.11 | $0.270 | $2.46 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.87 | $0.860 | $2.47 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.897 | $2.58 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.042 | $0.22 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.540 | $1.71 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.875 | $7 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.864 | $2.62 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.288 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.715 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.715 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.260 | $0.89 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.440 | $4.73 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.960 | $6.38 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.820 | $2.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.910 | $2.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |