Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10.39 | $0.770 | $10.18 | +$2.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.198 | $3.96 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.52 |
| $0.840 |
| $9.22 |
| +$1.22 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $7.45 | +$3.15 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $6.14 | +$1.14 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5.19 | $0.770 | $5.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.550 | $4.64 | -$0.36 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.198 | $3.55 | -$0.41 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.37 | $0.275 | $2.64 | -$10.96 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $1.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.360 | $1.04 | -$1.96 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 8.11 | $0.370 | $0.61 | -$2.39 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 23.38 | $0.043 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 46.75 |
| $0.043 |
| $2 |
| 14d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 14d ago |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.570 | $15.54 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.339 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 13.79 | $0.730 | $10.07 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.580 | $8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.999 | $7.68 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.070 | $2.63 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.998 | $12.48 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.720 | $7.68 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.700 | $4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.48 | $0.036 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.13 | $0.661 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k | buy | 28.41 | $0.211 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?No | buy | 12.48 | $0.721 | $9 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.253 | $6.83 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Nov 22, 2025 |