Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | Yes | 18.9 | $0.420 | $8.03 | +$0.09 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.500 | $3.28 | 17h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 15.73 |
| $0.450 |
| $7.63 |
| +$0.55 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 9.05 | $0.670 | $6.92 | +$0.86 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 9.4 | $0.650 | $6.63 | +$0.52 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 19.63 | $0.440 | $6.38 | -$2.26 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.700 | $5.97 | +$0.75 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.810 | $5.41 | +$0.34 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | No | 7.69 | $0.660 | $5.11 | +$0.04 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 7.13 | $0.720 | $5.03 | -$0.11 |
 Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes? | No | 6.09 | $0.780 | $4.78 | +$0.03 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | No | 5.95 | $0.850 | $4.76 | -$0.29 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.490 | $4.61 | +$0.39 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | Yes | 12.05 | $0.420 | $4.4 | -$0.66 |
| Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.520 | $4.36 | -$0.12 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 23.26 | $0.220 | $4.07 | -$1.05 |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | No | 13.76 | $0.260 | $3.65 | +$0.07 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $3.28 | +$0.58 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C? | V | 6 | $0.580 | $3.21 | -$0.27 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 18.21 | $0.220 | $3.19 | -$0.82 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 6.56 | $0.500 | $3.15 | -$0.13 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 12.33 | $0.300 | $3.14 | -$0.55 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.77 | $0.490 | $2.74 | -$0.09 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 5 | $0.610 | $2.7 | -$0.35 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 5.14 | $0.580 | $2.7 | -$0.28 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | No | 4.99 | $0.580 | $2.62 | -$0.27 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.660 |
| $5.08 |
| 21h ago |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 11.63 | $0.640 | $7.44 | 23h ago |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.260 | $3.58 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 1d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.490 | $4.22 | 1d ago |
| Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.780 | $4.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.720 | $5.13 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.220 | $5.12 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 6.26 | $0.510 | $3.19 | 2d ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 8.93 | $0.840 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | sell | 13.7 | $0.660 | $9.04 | 2d ago |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.976 | $5.93 | 3d ago |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.700 | $5.22 | 4d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.810 | $5.06 | 4d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 18.21 | $0.220 | $4.01 | 4d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.840 | $5.06 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.490 | $2.83 | 5d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.260 | $4.64 | 7d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.300 | $3.7 | 7d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.252 | $4.76 | 8d ago |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.420 | $5.06 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 8d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 9d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 9d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.670 | $6.06 | 14d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.580 | $5.18 | 15d ago |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.440 | $5.12 | 15d ago |
| Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 15d ago |
| Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.370 | $5.07 | 15d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.580 | $2.89 | 15d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.370 | $3.38 | 15d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 7.43 | $0.510 | $3.79 | 16d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.650 | $6.11 | 16d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.430 | $5.09 | 16d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.580 | $2.98 | 16d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.88 | $0.419 | $6.65 | 17d ago |
 Will James Taylor be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?No | buy | 8.61 | $0.570 | $4.91 | 17d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 18d ago |
 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under | buy | 4.99 | $0.590 | $2.94 | 18d ago |
| Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Yes | buy | 18.9 | $0.420 | $7.94 | 18d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.320 | $3.26 | 18d ago |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.650 | $3.66 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.350 | $2.19 | 19d ago |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 19.63 | $0.440 | $8.64 | 19d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 19d ago |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.580 | $6.9 | 20d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.600 | $2.99 | 20d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.500 | $2.85 | 20d ago |