Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 36.51 | $0.685 | $34.14 | +$9.14 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora | buy | 1.95 | $0.660 | $1.29 | 3m ago |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 41.44 |
| $0.447 |
| $31.49 |
| +$12.98 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 31.5 | $0.794 | $26.84 | +$1.84 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.03 | $0.878 | $16.86 | +$1.03 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 15.26 | $0.844 | $14.55 | +$1.67 |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 14.08 | $0.914 | $13.76 | +$0.89 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 14.5 | $0.867 | $12.52 | -$0.05 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 9.52 | $0.940 | $9.3 | +$0.35 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 15.7 | $0.690 | $9.18 | -$1.65 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 9.41 | $0.830 | $8.78 | +$0.96 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.92 | $0.612 | $6.96 | +$1.5 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 7.11 | $0.765 | $6.75 | +$1.32 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.42 | $0.516 | $6.72 | -$2.78 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 9.46 | $0.660 | $6.48 | +$0.24 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.82 | $0.840 | $6.41 | +$0.68 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.81 | $0.876 | $6.3 | +$0.34 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.11 | $0.857 | $6.15 | +$0.06 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.02 | $0.581 | $5.91 | +$0.67 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.75 | $0.814 | $5.63 | +$0.13 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 5.65 | $0.960 | $5.42 | $0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.61 | $0.786 | $5.36 | +$0.95 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.65 | $0.660 | $4.89 | +$1.16 |
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026? | No | 5.65 | $0.890 | $4.72 | -$0.31 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.5 | $0.840 | $4.59 | -$0.03 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 5.28 | $0.870 | $4.57 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.91 |
| $0.540 |
| $1.03 |
| 9m ago |
Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 1.89 | $0.550 | $1.04 | 17m ago |
SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.73 | $0.620 | $1.69 | 23m ago |
FK Radnik Surdulica vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.8 | $0.600 | $1.08 | 1h ago |
Spread: Panathinaikos Athens (-2.5)AE Kifisia FC | buy | 2.06 | $0.710 | $1.46 | 1h ago |
Ostersunds FK vs. IK Brage: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 1h ago |
Falkenbergs FF vs. Osters IF: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.88 | $0.650 | $1.22 | 1h ago |
Spread: Ostersunds FK (-1.5)IK Brage | buy | 2.87 | $0.710 | $2.04 | 1h ago |
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 2.84 | $0.740 | $2.1 | 1h ago |
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)RB Leipzig | buy | 1.91 | $0.660 | $1.26 | 2h ago |
Spread: SK Super Nova (-1.5)FK Tukums 2000/TSS | buy | 1.91 | $0.800 | $1.53 | 2h ago |
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 1.92 | $0.620 | $1.19 | 2h ago |
Al Ain FC vs. Al Wasl FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.8 | $0.640 | $1.15 | 2h ago |
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK | buy | 1.69 | $0.740 | $1.25 | 2h ago |
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK | buy | 2.12 | $0.740 | $1.57 | 2h ago |
Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.88 | $0.600 | $1.73 | 2h ago |
Spread: Orebro SK (-1.5)GIF Sundsvall | buy | 1.5 | $0.760 | $1.14 | 2h ago |
Spread: PSV (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk | buy | 1.9 | $0.770 | $1.46 | 2h ago |
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 1.87 | $0.750 | $1.4 | 2h ago |
Spread: Al Ain FC (-1.5)Al Wasl FC | buy | 2.67 | $0.700 | $1.87 | 3h ago |
Varbergs BoIS vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.92 | $0.660 | $1.27 | 3h ago |
SK Super Nova vs. FK Tukums 2000/TSS: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.7 | $0.700 | $1.19 | 3h ago |
Falkenbergs FF vs. Osters IF: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.92 | $0.620 | $1.19 | 3h ago |
Al Ain FC vs. Al Wasl FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.03 | $0.640 | $1.3 | 3h ago |
Xorazm Fk Urganch vs. PFC Sogdiana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 1.9 | $0.670 | $1.27 | 3h ago |
AL Wakrah SC vs. Al-Shamal: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 1.92 | $0.750 | $1.44 | 3h ago |
Xorazm Fk Urganch vs. PFC Sogdiana: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 1.92 | $0.720 | $1.38 | 3h ago |
Spread: Al Jazira (UAE) (-1.5)Al-Nasr Dubai CSC | buy | 1.92 | $0.530 | $1.02 | 3h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.600 | $0.12 | 7h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.600 | $0.02 | 7h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.610 | $0.07 | 9h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.610 | $0.22 | 9h ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.670 | $3.07 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.610 | $0.02 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.610 | $0.24 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.610 | $0.09 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.610 | $0.16 | 11h ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.650 | $2.96 | 13h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.400 | $2.04 | 14h ago |
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)FK Bodø/Glimt | buy | 2.51 | $0.610 | $1.53 | 14h ago |
San Diego FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 16h ago |
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy | buy | 3.87 | $0.670 | $2.59 | 16h ago |
Los Angeles FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 2.74 | $0.690 | $1.89 | 16h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.570 | $0.05 | 17h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.570 | $0.02 | 17h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.570 | $0.01 | 17h ago |