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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | May 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 129.87 |
| $0.770 |
| $100 |
| May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | sell | 181.81 | $0.082 | $14.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | sell | 141.26 | $0.648 | $91.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 141.27 | $0.708 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 66.42 | $0.426 | $28.28 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 61.47 | $0.149 | $9.15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 153.31 | $0.059 | $9.06 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 11?Yes | buy | 108.42 | $0.169 | $18.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 11?Yes | buy | 129.04 | $0.142 | $18.28 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 11?Yes | buy | 162.2 | $0.084 | $13.63 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?Yes | buy | 46.36 | $0.406 | $18.81 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?Yes | buy | 38.91 | $0.237 | $9.24 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 8?Yes | buy | 121.15 | $0.075 | $9.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 7?Yes | buy | 68.38 | $0.128 | $8.74 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 7?Yes | sell | 175.68 | $0.480 | $84.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 7?Yes | buy | 161.86 | $0.300 | $48.56 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 7?Yes | buy | 4.52 | $0.330 | $1.49 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?No | sell | 390.26 | $0.251 | $97.87 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?Yes | sell | 360.66 | $0.988 | $356.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?Yes | buy | 359.89 | $0.970 | $349.15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?No | buy | 221.29 | $0.039 | $8.62 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?No | sell | 361.11 | $0.950 | $343.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?No | buy | 363.87 | $0.120 | $43.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?No | buy | 356.37 | $0.820 | $292.22 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 999.95 | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 363.07 | $0.270 | $98.03 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 855.08 | $0.116 | $99.47 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 20?Yes | sell | 415.5 | $0.050 | $20.78 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 20?Yes | buy | 414.34 | $0.120 | $49.72 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 4.72K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.008 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?Yes | buy | 273.65 | $0.356 | $97.37 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | sell | 240.28 | $0.831 | $199.69 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 231.28 | $0.438 | $101.37 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 597.99 | $0.166 | $99.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 120.8 | $0.402 | $48.56 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No | buy | 3.32K | $0.110 | $365.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5AM ETDown | sell | 13.83 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.150 | $18.75 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.126 | $14.85 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5AM ETDown | sell | 45 | $0.020 | $0.9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5AM ETUp | sell | 162.51 | $0.956 | $155.33 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5AM ETDown | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |