Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-05?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.43 |
| $0.530 |
| $4.95 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.98 | +$0.98 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $1.21 | -$1.79 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $0.68 | -$4.32 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $0.03 | -$9.97 |
| buy |
| 17.05 |
| $0.059 |
| $1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.780 | $5.03 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 22.54 | $0.044 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 9.55 | $0.105 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.986 | $2.19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.998 | $2.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.520 | $1.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.881 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.995 | $10.36 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.860 | $1.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by January 20, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |