Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.790 | $10.29 | +$1.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | 8d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 15 |
| $0.600 |
| $8.03 |
| -$0.98 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.400 | $7.05 | +$3.79 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.2 | $0.450 | $5.66 | +$0.62 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.45 | $0.440 | $4.1 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9.16 | $0.580 | $4.07 | -$1.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.540 | $3.64 | -$0.68 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.88 | $0.600 | $2.66 | -$0.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.610 | $1.97 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.16 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.81 | -$0.45 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.52 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 4.88 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.93 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.790 | $5.87 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.770 | $9 | 24d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.510 | $9 | 25d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 26.47 | $0.340 | $9 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.210 | $9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.455 | $9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 16.36 | $0.550 | $9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.390 | $9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.640 | $9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.13 | $0.320 | $9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.680 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.71 | $0.350 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.670 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?No | buy | 13.24 | $0.680 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 11.14 | $0.800 | $8.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.670 | $2.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.710 | $9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.230 | $2.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.240 | $2.76 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.630 | $1.89 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 24?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.753 | $8.08 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.210 | $2.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.228 | $2.53 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.700 | $1.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 13.45 | $0.670 | $9.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.740 | $9.12 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |