Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.991 | $5.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.989 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.988 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of March?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $305?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $330?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $365?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $2.50?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $145?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.975 | $4.93 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 7?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.989 | $4.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.985 | $4.97 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |