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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.730 | $10.01 | Dec 22, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 40.03 |
| $0.250 |
| $10.01 |
| Dec 22, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.280 | $11.21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.996 | $2.01 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 580.72 | $0.990 | $574.91 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 580.73 | $0.991 | $575.5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will TYLOO win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Jun 14, 2025 |