Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 186.93 | $0.284 | $64.49 | +$11.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 39.14 | $0.355 | $13.89 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 58.17 |
| $0.719 |
| $45.66 |
| +$3.82 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 78.68 | $0.101 | $6.69 | -$1.25 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| sell |
| 619.77 |
| $0.024 |
| $14.87 |
| 4d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.09 | $0.350 | $4.58 | 5d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.500 | $4.81 | 5d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.080 | $1.23 | 6d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 119.29 | $0.028 | $3.34 | 7d ago |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.07 | $0.104 | $1.46 | 7d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.61 | $0.060 | $1.42 | 7d ago |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | sell | 26.78 | $0.071 | $1.9 | 7d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 143.21 | $0.027 | $3.91 | 7d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 27.4 | $0.153 | $4.19 | 7d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 52.89 | $0.089 | $4.71 | 9d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 82.48 | $0.242 | $20 | 9d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 61.01 | $0.349 | $21.29 | 9d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.83 | $0.480 | $4.72 | 9d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.38 | $0.290 | $9.39 | 11d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.331 | $9.93 | 11d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.05 | $0.343 | $9.62 | 15d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.024 | $3.12 | 18d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 4.62 | $0.720 | $3.33 | 18d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 14.61 | $0.710 | $10.37 | 20d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.321 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.6 | $0.620 | $11.53 | 20d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.260 | $4.16 | 23d ago |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.3 | $0.684 | $4.31 | 23d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.480 | $4.72 | 25d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.730 | $1.67 | 25d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.100 | $1.11 | 25d ago |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | 25d ago |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.340 | $5.78 | 25d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.334 | $1.95 | 25d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.95 | $0.690 | $2.04 | 25d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.150 | $1.09 | 25d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.334 | $4.31 | 25d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.690 | $1.12 | 25d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.730 | $4.45 | 25d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | 26d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.330 | $1.14 | 26d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 55.88 | $0.017 | $0.95 | 26d ago |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.350 | $1.74 | 26d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.326 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.700 | $2.3 | 26d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 9.46 | $0.650 | $6.15 | 26d ago |