Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.3 | +$0.3 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $6.34 |
| +$1.34 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? | No | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 10.11 |
| $0.989 |
| $10 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsG2 Esports | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AVitality | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.961 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 52.36 | $0.993 | $51.99 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on March 17?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.952 | $4.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,200,000 and $1,300,000 by March 1?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.989 | $3.28 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on February 28?No | buy | 13.58 | $0.957 | $13 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.880 | $9 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.914 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 52.37 | $0.993 | $52 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.989 | $9.77 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.976 | $12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.978 | $8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?No | buy | 18.92 | $0.990 | $18.73 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No | buy | 51.25 | $0.976 | $50 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 61.86 | $0.970 | $60 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.961 | $6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Putin body double in Alaska confirmed by August 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.999 | $1.43K | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 16.87 | $0.830 | $14 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.964 | $9 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June?No | sell | 43 | $0.930 | $39.99 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by July 4?Yes | buy | 50.67 | $0.750 | $38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will V.J. Edgecombe be drafted in the top 10 of the 2025 NBA Draft?Yes | sell | 38.03 | $0.992 | $37.72 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will V.J. Edgecombe be drafted in the top 10 of the 2025 NBA Draft?Yes | buy | 38.04 | $0.999 | $38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | sell | 200 | $0.892 | $178.32 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 221.64 | $0.950 | $210.56 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 221.64 | $0.961 | $213 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 271.74 | $0.920 | $250 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 789.78 | $0.998 | $788.2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | sell | 2.01K | $0.996 | $2K | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.830 | $9 | Jun 20, 2025 |