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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.922 | $8.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.78 |
| $0.900 |
| $7 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 13?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.940 | $11 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 7.54 | $0.928 | $7 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.924 | $6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.960 | $5.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 16.97 | $0.330 | $5.6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.870 | $11 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.28 | $0.975 | $11 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 8.31 | $0.830 | $6.9 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.910 | $6.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 7?No | buy | 38 | $0.100 | $3.8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.960 | $5.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.995 | $6.33 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.710 | $6.2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.959 | $5.8 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.976 | $5.6 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $5.40 in August?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.997 | $5.8 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.974 | $6.87 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $340 in August?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.997 | $6.43 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.995 | $5.9 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.993 | $6.1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $250 in July?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.940 | $6.1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.984 | $5.8 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.972 | $4 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.920 | $5.1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.980 | $6.4 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.720 | $5.2 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 6.72 | $0.819 | $5.5 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.984 | $5.7 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | May 3, 2025 |