Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 55.17 | $0.580 | $32 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 100.35 |
| $0.100 |
| $10 |
| Aug 3, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 17.91 | $0.670 | $12 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign an NIL executive order by September 1?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?No | sell | 381.22 | $0.035 | $13.23 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?No | buy | 381.22 | $0.049 | $18.65 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.970 | $18.65 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 13.78 | $0.590 | $8.13 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| 25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.494 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | sell | 32.47 | $0.900 | $29.22 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | sell | 20.77 | $0.910 | $18.9 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | buy | 20.78 | $0.770 | $16 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?No | buy | 33.27 | $0.410 | $13.64 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Yes | buy | 26.28 | $0.380 | $10 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.540 | $8.13 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?No | buy | 77.14 | $0.138 | $10.66 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | buy | 32.48 | $0.462 | $15 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 US-EU trade agreement by July 9?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Turkey before June?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.997 | $10.17 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One before July?No | buy | 25.63 | $0.702 | $18 | May 30, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.320 | $17.78 | May 30, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign a bill into law before June?No | buy | 13.57 | $0.737 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Turkey before June?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.750 | $4.93 | May 15, 2025 |
 Trump baby bonus before July?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.898 | $4.98 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.900 | $5.05 | May 15, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | sell | 24.5 | $0.942 | $23.07 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.920 | $6.21 | May 15, 2025 |
| Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 24.5 | $0.400 | $9.8 | May 8, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.782 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before June?No | buy | 16.2 | $0.200 | $3.24 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Trump baby bonus before July?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |