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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 480.3 | $0.998 | $479.34 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.36 |
| $0.983 |
| $2.32 |
| Jun 25, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.991 | $2.32 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.987 | $2.31 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 8.44 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 762 | $0.003 | $2.29 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | sell | 488.45 | $0.972 | $474.88 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | buy | 488.45 | $0.970 | $473.8 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?No | buy | 305.23 | $0.967 | $295.03 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 58.35 | $0.998 | $58.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the US add 200k or more jobs in June?No | sell | 60 | $0.971 | $58.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 478.21 | $0.955 | $456.59 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.958 | $8.59 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 474.94 | $0.979 | $465.18 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 240.15 | $0.960 | $230.54 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 471.33 | $0.966 | $455.3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 698 | $0.983 | $685.84 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 37.38 | $0.958 | $35.81 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.955 | $2.77 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?No | sell | 40 | $0.965 | $38.59 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?No | buy | 226.48 | $0.960 | $217.39 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 472.04 | $0.958 | $452.1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 691.38 | $0.968 | $669.49 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the US add 200k or more jobs in June?No | buy | 699.81 | $0.947 | $663 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 698 | $0.950 | $663.1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in May?No | buy | 142.31 | $0.998 | $142 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 691.38 | $0.958 | $662.2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.976 | $4.93 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 261.7 | $0.981 | $256.73 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 413.92 | $0.980 | $405.64 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 673.39 | $0.977 | $657.9 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.961 | $1.06K | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | sell | 244 | $0.979 | $238.78 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 850.75 | $0.979 | $833.3 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No | buy | 859.74 | $0.970 | $833.7 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 890.21 | $0.937 | $834 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 65.66 | $0.952 | $62.53 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 855.78 | $0.978 | $836.95 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 193.56 | $0.983 | $190.27 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 193.56 | $0.971 | $187.95 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 855.78 | $0.967 | $827.8 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 762.88 | $0.880 | $671.33 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 706.16 | $0.951 | $671.33 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 51.69 | $0.968 | $50.04 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 470.1 | $0.944 | $444 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?No | buy | 962.47 | $0.992 | $954.8 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 237 | $0.945 | $224.06 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 973.96 | $0.976 | $950.58 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 525 | $0.945 | $495.87 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.971 | $1.03K | Jun 3, 2025 |