Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 64.56 | $0.790 | $61.65 | +$10.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 55.76 |
| $0.879 |
| $54.06 |
| +$5.06 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 87.72 | $0.570 | $46.05 | -$3.95 |
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 31.22 | $0.640 | $24.31 | +$4.31 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 21.51 | $0.680 | $18.83 | +$4.2 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 65.37 | $0.597 | $9.48 | -$29.52 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 46.15 | $0.542 | $6.23 | -$18.77 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
| buy |
| 34.3 |
| $0.583 |
| $20 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 60.59 | $0.165 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 626.73 | $0.016 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.225 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 72.94 | $0.950 | $69.29 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 30.2 | $0.730 | $22.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.235 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 14.75 | $0.810 | $11.95 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.910 | $19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 30.01 | $0.660 | $19.81 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 65.37 | $0.597 | $39 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 72.02 | $0.545 | $39.25 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.542 | $25 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No | sell | 17.44 | $0.999 | $17.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.999 | $18.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.886 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 61.63 | $0.845 | $52.07 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 26.44 | $0.870 | $23 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.966 | $23.26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 58.89 | $0.681 | $40.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 64.56 | $0.790 | $51 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 46.15 | $0.916 | $42.29 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 38.66 | $0.517 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | sell | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | May 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?No | sell | 36.45 | $0.970 | $35.36 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 23.7 | $0.970 | $22.99 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 23.71 | $0.844 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?No | buy | 36.46 | $0.823 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 35.61 | $0.554 | $19.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.23 | $0.690 | $1.54 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.280 | $1.58 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.680 | $14.63 | Apr 18, 2026 |