Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 43.11 | $0.270 | $11.64 | May 8, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 193.32 |
| $0.268 |
| $51.88 |
| May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?Yes | sell | 55.43 | $0.210 | $11.64 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | sell | 151.49 | $0.342 | $51.82 | May 8, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 4, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?No | buy | 311.3 | $0.006 | $2 | May 4, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 38.83 | $0.300 | $11.65 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 211.94 | $0.055 | $11.66 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.900 | $10.85 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 258.01 | $0.116 | $30 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | sell | 170.18 | $0.258 | $43.84 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 230.37 | $0.646 | $148.74 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?Yes | sell | 68.15 | $0.253 | $17.26 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.270 | $32.45 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 68.15 | $0.147 | $10 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 18–25?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by April 30?Yes | buy | 305.38 | $0.016 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 31?No | buy | 270.54 | $0.037 | $10 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 250.05 | $0.620 | $155.03 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 211.94 | $0.170 | $36.03 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?Yes | buy | 55.43 | $0.350 | $19.4 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 170.18 | $0.294 | $50 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 151.5 | $0.330 | $50 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Asia?No | sell | 220.57 | $0.750 | $165.43 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Asia?No | buy | 220.57 | $0.680 | $149.99 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 340.9 | $0.440 | $150 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 250.05 | $0.590 | $147.53 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 402.63 | $0.366 | $147.52 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 402.63 | $0.367 | $147.9 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 340.91 | $0.440 | $150 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 646.92 | $0.660 | $426.97 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 65.06 | $0.810 | $52.7 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 119.62 | $0.418 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |