Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.045 | $25 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 250.83 |
| $0.012 |
| $3 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pompeo be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | sell | 999.94 | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?Yes | buy | 32.02 | $0.149 | $4.77 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?Yes | buy | 352.97 | $0.127 | $45 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?Yes | buy | 91.3 | $0.230 | $21 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 545.45 | $0.011 | $6 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.011 | $3 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | sell | 144.44 | $0.010 | $1.44 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Mike Pompeo be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 24.44 | $0.006 | $0.15 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Dan Brouillette for Energy Secretary?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.999 | $4.08 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public by Sunday?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will the fight end in Round 8?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.065 | $6 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Dan Brouillette for Energy Secretary?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Matt Rosendale for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | sell | 61.22 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Interior Secretary?Yes | buy | 42.29 | $0.205 | $8.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?Yes | sell | 8.71 | $0.995 | $8.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 8.72 | $0.920 | $8.02 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.340 | $3.78 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Joni Ernst for Defense Secretary?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.002 | $0.18 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.140 | $4.06 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Dan Brouillette for Energy Secretary?No | buy | 98.01 | $0.773 | $75.75 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Matt Rosendale for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | sell | 22.93 | $0.006 | $0.14 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?No | sell | 65.94 | $0.010 | $0.68 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Matt Rosendale for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Tulsi Gabbard for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.281 | $4.52 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.040 | $3.53 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 22.94 | $0.218 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Tulsi Gabbard for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Joni Ernst for Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.159 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate John Ratcliffe for Attorney General?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.174 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |