Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 462.09 | $0.448 | $207.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 937.47 |
| $0.240 |
| $224.99 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 937.48 | $0.480 | $449.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 450.9 | $0.998 | $450 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 450.89 | $0.840 | $378.75 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 601.18 | $0.630 | $378.74 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 601.19 | $0.690 | $414.82 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.810 | $0.15 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 213.99 | $0.810 | $173.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 284.87 | $0.847 | $241.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 284.88 | $0.917 | $261.16 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 214.19 | $0.690 | $147.79 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 185.91 | $0.790 | $146.87 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 185.92 | $0.710 | $132 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | sell | 412.99 | $0.850 | $351.04 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.945 | $1.06 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.891 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 413 | $0.504 | $208 | Mar 6, 2026 |