Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 93.36K | $0.500 | $46.91K | +$233.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.25K | $0.999 | $36.21K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 93.36K |
| $0.500 |
| $46.45K |
| -$233.41 |
| sell |
| 6.39K |
| $0.160 |
| $1.02K |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.59K | $0.838 | $6.36K | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | sell | 66.13 | $0.001 | $0.07 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 686.98 | $0.780 | $535.84 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.770 | $851.47 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 7.32K | $0.986 | $7.22K | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.260 | $299.1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.150 | $238.22 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.210 | $228.7 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.800 | $900 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.110 | $605 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 5.55K | $0.860 | $4.77K | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 66.13 | $0.016 | $1.06 | May 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.34K | $0.997 | $12.31K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.34K | $0.999 | $12.33K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 63.12 | $0.999 | $63.06 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.996 | $1.88K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 292 | $0.995 | $290.54 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.993 | $10.03 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 346 | $0.986 | $341.03 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.2 | $0.990 | $26.93 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.992 | $28.77 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 181.1 | $0.977 | $176.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.976 | $1.22K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 48.35 | $0.974 | $47.09 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.66K | $0.999 | $77.58K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 867 | $0.989 | $857.46 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.18 | $0.999 | $69.11 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 4.44K | $0.969 | $4.3K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.64K | $0.998 | $2.64K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 2.18K | $0.977 | $2.13K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.972 | $1.41K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.993 | $1.19K | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.991 | $2.02K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 37.71K | $0.670 | $25.26K | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 971.75 | $0.160 | $155.48 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 9.17K | $0.998 | $9.15K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 8.02K | $0.870 | $6.98K | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 972.07 | $0.995 | $967.21 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 941.51 | $0.968 | $911.38 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 6.45K | $0.580 | $3.74K | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.720 | $936 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.270 | $353.43 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.720 | $888.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.966 | $2.25K | Mar 18, 2026 |