Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 496.79 | $0.359 | $178.44 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 461.54 |
| $0.078 |
| $36 |
| Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 467.53 | $0.077 | $36 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 458.33 | $0.240 | $110 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 248.32 | $0.937 | $232.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 126.37 | $0.910 | $115 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.390 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 81.97 | $0.300 | $24.59 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.085 | $7.49 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 150.66 | $0.100 | $15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Yes | buy | 60.32 | $0.083 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 114.75 | $0.647 | $74.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 114.75 | $0.610 | $70 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | sell | 76.34 | $0.805 | $61.43 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 37.88 | $0.660 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 38.46 | $0.650 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | sell | 105.26 | $0.990 | $104.21 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | sell | 187.74 | $0.320 | $60.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 89.29 | $0.280 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 98.46 | $0.254 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.675 | $55.29 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 118.58 | $0.760 | $90.12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.170 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 118.59 | $0.843 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Yes | sell | 148.3 | $0.010 | $1.43 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 125 | $0.998 | $124.75 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.259 | $30.17 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Yes | buy | 148.31 | $0.034 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 126.37 | $0.999 | $126.24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.38 | $0.396 | $50 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 968.55 | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.410 | $93.18 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 176.5 | $0.256 | $45.18 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 853.51 | $0.102 | $87.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |