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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 79.98 |
| $0.048 |
| $3.83 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.415 | $9.13 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.1 | $0.266 | $6.41 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.029 | $1.02 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.69 | $0.090 | $1.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.91 | $0.220 | $3.28 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.160 | $3.52 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 31.2 | $0.027 | $0.84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.76 | $0.026 | $0.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | sell | 9.76 | $0.530 | $5.17 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.250 | $3.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.580 | $4.06 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.69 | $0.130 | $1.52 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.430 | $4.47 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.265 | $7.96 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 735 | $0.001 | $0.74 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 645 | $0.001 | $0.65 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 565 | $0.001 | $0.57 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.001 | $0.44 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.001 | $0.41 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 655 | $0.001 | $0.66 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 660 | $0.001 | $0.66 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes | buy | 475 | $0.001 | $0.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |