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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 4.74 | $0.999 | $4.74 | Dec 31, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 107.3 |
| $0.989 |
| $106.12 |
| Sep 9, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 144.27 | $0.996 | $143.69 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 580 | $0.995 | $577.1 | May 21, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 580 | $0.997 | $578.26 | May 20, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?No | buy | 555.55 | $0.998 | $554.44 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.966 | $64.39 | May 20, 2025 |
Bybit insolvent before April?No | buy | 42 | $0.998 | $41.92 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 66.66 | $0.956 | $63.73 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | sell | 6.61 | $0.983 | $6.5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.984 | $45.26 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 54.49 | $0.997 | $54.33 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 34.33 | $0.998 | $34.26 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Base airdrop in 2024?No | sell | 80 | $0.996 | $79.68 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Nov 11, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.663 | $19.89 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.338 | $10.14 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Oct 28, 2024 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Pete Buttigieg be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 21 | $0.998 | $20.96 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 17 | $0.997 | $16.95 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 124.88 | $0.998 | $124.63 | Sep 30, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 124.88 | $0.996 | $124.38 | Aug 17, 2024 |