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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 116.45 | $0.979 | $113.97 | Apr 18, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 116.47 |
| $0.984 |
| $114.59 |
| Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win Delaware by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 471.17 | $0.004 | $1.87 | Nov 13, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Harrison vs. VieiraVieira | buy | 2.31 | $0.130 | $0.3 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.Rountree Jr. | buy | 2.27 | $0.220 | $0.5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |