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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.033 | $1.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 3.84 |
| $0.300 |
| $1.15 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.982 | $1.19 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.982 | $1.26 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Lululemon (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.995 | $1.16 | Dec 10, 2025 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?Up | sell | 1.29 | $0.997 | $1.29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?Up | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.370 | $5.14 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 160.09 | $0.002 | $0.32 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will England win?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Celtics vs. WizardsCeltics | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will New Zealand win?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.974 | $1.16 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Australia win?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.540 | $0.85 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will New Zealand win?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.930 | $1.06 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.890 | $3.23 | Dec 1, 2025 |
LAR vs. PanthersLAR | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Cardinals vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?Yes | sell | 34.89 | $0.020 | $0.7 | Nov 29, 2025 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs No Need Orga (BO1)G2 Esports | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Australia win?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Bengals vs. RavensRavens | sell | 1.28 | $0.770 | $0.99 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Chiefs vs. CowboysChiefs | sell | 4.19 | $0.060 | $0.25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Chiefs vs. CowboysChiefs | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?No Change | sell | 7.14 | $0.031 | $0.22 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.850 | $1.84 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Bengals vs. RavensRavens | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)Legacy | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Chiefs vs. CowboysChiefs | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Chiefs vs. CowboysChiefs | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Rangers vs. HurricanesRangers | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Bruins vs. IslandersBruins | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Bucks vs. HeatHeat | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.170 | $0.31 | Nov 27, 2025 |