Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 4 | $0.958 | $3.83 | Jun 26, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.967 |
| $3.87 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.080 | $2.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.080 | $2.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.810 | $25.11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.810 | $25.11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.047 | $1.36 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.090 | $6.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.090 | $1.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.937 | $25.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.090 | $2.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.209 | $2.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.189 | $5.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.38 | $0.260 | $5.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.250 | $9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.760 | $26.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.680 | $29.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.790 | $33.97 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.016 | $0.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.964 | $30.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.041 | $2.83 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.810 | $30.78 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.810 | $34.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.983 | $21.63 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 7 | $0.440 | $3.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.490 | $8.82 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.951 | $34.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.944 | $33.98 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.974 | $34.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.974 | $34.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.957 | $33.5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.956 | $33.46 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.042 | $1.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.790 | $30.81 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.807 | $34.7 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.957 | $34.45 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.955 | $34.38 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.310 | $17.05 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.400 | $31.2 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.247 | $41.25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.257 | $42.92 | May 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.016 | $2.77 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 30 | $0.961 | $28.83 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.062 | $5.08 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.430 | $19.35 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.082 | $6.64 | May 21, 2026 |