Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 8.41K | $0.928 | $8.09K | +$287.87 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.983 | $28.51 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8K |
| $0.881 |
| $7.69K |
| +$642.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.912 | $1.94K | +$112 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.860 | $1.89K | +$170 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.962 | $1.06K | +$23.25 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 800 | $0.840 | $748 | +$76 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.820 | $472.5 | +$62.5 |
| buy |
| 1.08K |
| $0.962 |
| $1.04K |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.997 | $5.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.003 | $4.75 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 260 | $0.830 | $215.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.254 | $507.14 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.289 | $577.1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.920 | $1.38K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.770 | $385 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 34.16 | $0.830 | $28.35 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 22.25K | $0.998 | $22.21K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 15.97K | $0.998 | $15.94K | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.8 | $0.500 | $83.4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 113.23 | $0.850 | $96.25 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.21 | $0.956 | $53.74 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.820 | $1.64K | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 793.32 | $0.730 | $579.12 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 732.44 | $0.710 | $520.03 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 493 | $0.002 | $0.99 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No | buy | 450 | $0.975 | $438.75 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 67.53 | $0.922 | $62.26 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 401.41 | $0.890 | $357.25 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.880 | $13.39 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 800 | $0.860 | $688 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.690 | $44.85 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 16.94 | $0.880 | $14.91 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 106.44 | $0.880 | $93.67 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No | buy | 601.2 | $0.998 | $600 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 44.7 | $0.810 | $36.21 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 30.86 | $0.954 | $29.44 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 787.36 | $0.995 | $783.42 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 600 | $0.998 | $598.8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 76.71 | $0.989 | $75.87 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 59 | $0.850 | $50.15 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?No | buy | 734.8 | $0.830 | $609.88 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No | buy | 126.02 | $0.931 | $117.32 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 209.73 | $0.985 | $206.58 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 152.18 | $0.983 | $149.59 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | buy | 806.95 | $0.999 | $806.14 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?No | buy | 185 | $0.707 | $130.8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 203.22 | $0.949 | $192.86 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 438.76 | $0.970 | $425.6 | Nov 2, 2025 |