Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.206 | $445.43 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.97K |
| $0.499 |
| $2.48K |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes | sell | 445.65 | $0.220 | $98.04 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes | buy | 427.14 | $0.234 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.160 | $402.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 32.65 | $0.300 | $9.78 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | sell | 159.05 | $0.683 | $108.56 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 156.81 | $0.620 | $97.22 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.199 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 57.89 | $0.190 | $11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.08 | $0.181 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 678.59 | $0.589 | $400 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes | buy | 509.35 | $0.589 | $300 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 314.47 | $0.159 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 628.93 | $0.159 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 628.93 | $0.159 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.159 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.197 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 103.61 | $0.160 | $16.58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 101.98 | $0.475 | $48.45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 145.71 | $0.530 | $77.26 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 31.52 | $0.310 | $9.77 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 55.04 | $0.161 | $8.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 58.24 | $0.170 | $9.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.490 | $1.36 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.62 | $0.360 | $15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.170 | $427.36 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 28.94 | $0.069 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 183.44 | $0.087 | $16 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.74 | $0.610 | $7.77 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.080 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 32.07 | $0.312 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 637.17 | $0.314 | $200 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 376.33 | $0.079 | $29.73 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.096 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.233 | $275.63 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 365.78 | $0.104 | $38.21 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.59 | $0.431 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?No | buy | 302.77 | $0.119 | $36 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 320.71 | $0.312 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 85.71 | $0.140 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 32.54 | $0.154 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |