Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $63 | -$12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.822 | $82.2 | 27d ago |
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| No |
| 50 |
| $0.982 |
| $49.7 |
| +$0.6 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.910 | $46.75 | +$1.25 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $26.5 | +$1.5 |
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.834 | $21.13 | +$0.28 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 18.52 | $0.540 | $6.94 | -$3.06 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.963 |
| $96.32 |
| 28d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | 28d ago |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 22.11 | $0.452 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonVitality.Bee | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1T by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.820 | $2.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.954 | $95.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 84.5 | $0.870 | $73.52 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 12 | $0.963 | $11.55 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.941 | $94.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 17 | $0.910 | $15.47 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 19.09 | $0.070 | $1.34 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 84.51 | $0.710 | $60 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 17 | $0.780 | $13.26 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 19.09 | $0.190 | $3.63 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 12 | $0.870 | $10.44 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.011 | $1.01 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | Feb 15, 2026 |