Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.016 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.580 | $2.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.390 |
| $3.9 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.973 | $1.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.910 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.860 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.962 | $1.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.998 | $3.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 6.48 | $0.997 | $6.46 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No | sell | 6.93 | $0.998 | $6.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.840 | $6.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.53 | $0.810 | $6.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | sell | 7.53 | $0.986 | $7.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.750 | $5.87 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.830 | $6.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.760 | $6.12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.590 | $3.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.94 | $0.550 | $6.57 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 22.7 | $0.170 | $3.86 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.86 | $0.121 | $2.77 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 28.67 | $0.218 | $6.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 48.46 | $0.140 | $6.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.070 | $6.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jun 29, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Jun 29, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.770 | $2.18 | Jun 28, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.56 | $0.050 | $0.23 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.053 | $0.53 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.053 | $1.33 | Jun 27, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.950 | $1.58 | Jun 27, 2026 |