Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | sell | 13.31K | $0.993 | $13.22K | May 12, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 13.42K |
| $0.996 |
| $13.37K |
| May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.694 | $1K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.650 | $1K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.643 | $1K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Yes | buy | 591.33 | $0.169 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.630 | $1K | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.643 | $1K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.637 | $999 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 4.06K | $0.699 | $2.84K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | buy | 130.26 | $0.768 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.21K | $0.156 | $500 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 13.42K | $0.745 | $10K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.48K | $0.059 | $500 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.250 | $500 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.14K | $0.076 | $1K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?No | buy | 341.13 | $0.293 | $100 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 15.94K | $0.975 | $15.54K | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.186 | $512 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.140 | $512.24 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 7.22K | $0.671 | $4.84K | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 3.17K | $0.630 | $2K | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.166 | $500 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.610 | $2K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.4K | $0.156 | $1K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 5.96K | $0.936 | $5.59K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.747 | $2K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.441 | $1K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.608 | $1K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.609 | $1K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.220 | $233 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.190 | $500 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.208 | $500 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.224 | $500 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.420 | $1K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.215 | $500 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.500 | $1.8K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.530 | $1.2K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Secretary of War" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Yes | buy | 680.61 | $0.735 | $500 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.025 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.310 | $250 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.280 | $250 | Feb 27, 2026 |