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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $11.69 | +$1.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
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| No |
| 12.06 |
| $0.829 |
| $11.4 |
| +$1.4 |
| buy |
| 17.54 |
| $0.570 |
| $10 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.829 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.984 | $11.57 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 16.79 | $0.977 | $16.4 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 18.75 | $0.979 | $18.36 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 40.54 | $0.520 | $21.08 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.800 | $15 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.780 | $17.33 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.210 | $3.44 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 16.94 | $0.999 | $16.92 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.070 | $3.89 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.953 | $10.35 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 17.44 | $0.920 | $16.04 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 16.94 | $0.980 | $16.6 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 48.26 | $0.167 | $8.06 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 26.85 | $0.745 | $20 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 46.94 | $0.255 | $11.96 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | sell | 23.07 | $0.519 | $11.98 | Jun 27, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 27.4 | $0.720 | $19.73 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 48.27 | $0.166 | $8 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.911 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 56.78 | $0.264 | $15 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 36.1 | $0.940 | $33.93 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.885 | $15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |