Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 11.54 | $0.953 | $11.44 | +$0.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.953 | $11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount LionsSan Diego Toreros | buy | 1.4 | $0.710 | $0.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.989 | $1.79 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.889 | $11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.994 | $6.54 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.900 | $1.22 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.961 | $1.79 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.805 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.985 | $11 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 US-EU trade agreement by July 9?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.968 | $1.3 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 10.41 | $0.980 | $10.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in April?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.998 | $1.86 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.995 | $1.1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Kanye back on X by Friday?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.660 | $7 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.920 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.710 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |