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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.54 |
| $0.929 |
| $20 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 24.73 | $0.930 | $23 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 25.34 | $0.940 | $23.82 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.97 | $0.910 | $19.08 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.942 | $10.03 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.590 | $7.4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 74.74 | $0.963 | $72 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.051 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |